This thing is basically six questions stapled together.
Start by diagnosing the funnel to identify where the drop occurs and whether it correlates with volatility, then design an experiment that isolates the effect of a targeted intervention while controlling for market shocks and compliance differences. Emphasize guardrail metrics for fraud and a pre-registration plan to ensure validity.
Pro tip: Propose using volatility as a blocking variable or including it as a covariate in your analysis to increase power and account for market shocks. Also, consider running the experiment only in countries with similar compliance regimes to simplify interpretation, or stratify by country if variation is large.
Analyze the KYC funnel to pinpoint the step(s) with the largest drop and check if the decline is uniform across countries or user segments. Form a hypothesis about why volatility affects completion (e.g., users rush and make errors, or abandon due to price swings).
Choose a randomization unit (e.g., user ID) and define the intervention (e.g., simplified UI, progress saver, or real-time assistance). Specify primary metric (KYC completion rate) and guardrail metrics (fraud rate, false positive rate, time to complete).
Use volatility as a covariate or stratify randomization by volatility levels. Account for country-level compliance by either restricting to similar countries or including country as a stratification variable and analyzing separately.
Calculate required sample size based on baseline completion rate, minimum detectable effect, power, and significance level. Plan duration to capture enough volatility cycles. Implement sequential monitoring with alpha-spending to allow early stopping for efficacy or futility without inflating Type I error.
Pre-register the hypothesis, metrics, analysis plan, and stopping rules. After the experiment, analyze using appropriate methods (e.g., CUPED with pre-experiment covariates) and check guardrails before declaring success.
AI-generated suggestions, not part of the candidate's original notes. May be inaccurate — verify before relying on them.