My first instinct was to go straight into fixes, which was the wrong move.
Start by clarifying the metric definition and segmenting the spike by rider, trip, and time dimensions to localize the problem. Then form hypotheses about root causes across the rider journey, prioritize them using data, and propose targeted solutions with success metrics.
Pro tip: Anchor your analysis in Uber's marketplace dynamics—cancellations affect driver utilization and rider wait times, so quantify the downstream impact to prioritize fixes. Also, consider both rider-initiated and driver-initiated cancellations, as they may have different root causes.
Ensure you understand what 'trip cancellations' means: is it rider-initiated cancellations after matching, or all cancellations? Define the numerator and denominator (e.g., cancellations per completed trips or per request).
Break down the spike by dimensions such as geography, time, rider cohort (new vs. existing), trip type (UberX, Pool), and device. Identify where the increase is concentrated to narrow down potential causes.
Brainstorm potential root causes across the rider journey: app issues, pricing changes, longer wait times, driver behavior, or external factors. Use data to validate or eliminate hypotheses, focusing on the most impactful ones.
For top hypotheses, dig deeper with quantitative analysis (e.g., correlation with wait times, price changes) and qualitative methods (rider surveys, support tickets). Determine the primary drivers.
Develop targeted solutions (e.g., improve ETAs, adjust pricing, enhance driver incentives) and define success metrics (e.g., cancellation rate reduction, rider retention). Prioritize based on impact and effort, and outline an A/B test plan.
AI-generated suggestions, not part of the candidate's original notes. May be inaccurate — verify before relying on them.