← Jane Street Interview Insights
This question is basically five questions glued together and they let you run with it.
Structure your answer as a clear pipeline: start with data validation and exploratory analysis, then discuss feature engineering and model selection with a focus on time-series cross-validation, and finally address evaluation metrics and drift handling. Emphasize practical trade-offs and how you would monitor and adapt the model in production.
Pro tip: At Jane Street, they care about robustness and adaptability. Show you understand that financial time series are non-stationary and that evaluation must mimic real-world deployment, e.g., using walk-forward validation and considering transaction costs if applicable.
Check for missing values, outliers, and irregularities in timestamps. Plot the series to identify trends, seasonality, and structural breaks.
Create time-based features (lags, rolling statistics, calendar effects) and handle stationarity via differencing or detrending. Scale features if needed, but be cautious with look-ahead bias.
Choose models suitable for time series (e.g., ARIMA, gradient boosting, LSTM) and use time-series cross-validation (e.g., expanding window) to avoid data leakage. Consider ensembling for robustness.
Use metrics like MAE, RMSE, or MAPE, but also evaluate directional accuracy if relevant. Backtest on a hold-out period that simulates real-time forecasting.
Monitor performance over time and detect drift via statistical tests (e.g., ADWIN, Page-Hinkley). Retrain periodically or use online learning to adapt to changes.
AI-generated suggestions, not part of the candidate's original notes. May be inaccurate — verify before relying on them.