This was basically the whole interview in one prompt.
Start by framing the experiment around the two-sided marketplace dynamics, then propose a cluster-randomized design (e.g., by city or zone) to mitigate interference from driver movement. Detail key metrics for rider experience and marketplace health, and outline power analysis, bias mitigation, monitoring, and pre-registration.
Pro tip: Emphasize that interference is the biggest threat to validity in marketplace experiments; propose using a switchback or geo-based randomization with buffer zones to isolate treatment effects. Also, pre-register not just the primary metrics but also guardrail metrics to prevent p-hacking and ensure stakeholder alignment.
Clearly state the causal hypothesis: new ETA model improves rider experience (e.g., reduced perceived wait time, fewer cancellations) without harming marketplace health (e.g., driver utilization, match rates). Select primary, secondary, and guardrail metrics.
Because drivers move across zones, individual-level randomization causes spillover. Use cluster randomization (e.g., by city or zone) or switchback designs. Consider buffer zones or spatial separation to minimize interference.
Determine sample size and duration via power calculations, accounting for intra-cluster correlation. Specify treatment/control split, and plan for heterogeneous effects across zones.
Ensure accurate logging of ETA predictions, actual wait times, cancellations, and driver movements. Mitigate biases like novelty effects, seasonality, and selection bias via randomization checks and covariate adjustment.
Pre-register the design, metrics, and analysis plan. Set up real-time monitoring for guardrail metrics and early stopping rules. Analyze using appropriate methods (e.g., difference-in-differences, CUPED) to estimate causal impact.
AI-generated suggestions, not part of the candidate's original notes. May be inaccurate — verify before relying on them.