This one took me a second to process because it's not really one question, it's like ten questions stapled together.
Structure your answer around the experiment lifecycle: design, execution, monitoring, and decision-making. Emphasize how you would handle TikTok's unique challenges like network effects and seasonality, and show a clear decision framework for metric conflicts.
Pro tip: Demonstrate maturity by acknowledging that perfect experiments are rare; focus on quantifying and mitigating biases rather than eliminating them. Mention that you would pre-register the analysis plan and use a holdout group to measure long-term effects.
Clearly state the hypothesis (e.g., redesigned onboarding increases Day-7 activation by X%). Define primary metric (Day-7 activation) and guardrail metrics (e.g., retention, engagement, revenue). Specify attribution windows (e.g., 7-day) and how you'll handle network effects (e.g., cluster randomization).
Choose randomization unit (user-level or cluster-level to handle interference). Calculate sample size using power analysis, accounting for seasonality (e.g., weekly patterns) and expected effect size. Consider variance reduction techniques like CUPED or stratification.
Implement sequential monitoring with alpha spending (e.g., O'Brien-Fleming boundaries) to allow early stopping. Set up SRM checks, bot traffic filters, and noncompliance diagnostics. Detect spillover via network analysis or geo experiments and quantify bias.
Plan a gradual ramp (e.g., 1%, 5%, 10%, 50%) with holdout groups to measure novelty effects. Monitor metrics over time to distinguish novelty from true effect. Use a long-term holdout to assess sustained impact.
If primary metric improves but guardrails degrade, weigh trade-offs using pre-defined thresholds (e.g., guardrail must not drop by more than Y%). Consider business impact, statistical significance, and qualitative insights. Decide to launch, iterate, or abandon.
AI-generated suggestions, not part of the candidate's original notes. May be inaccurate — verify before relying on them.