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I started with conversion rate as the primary metric and revenue lift as a secondary, which felt right.
Start by clearly defining the experiment's goal and the target population, then outline the primary and guardrail metrics that capture both acquisition and spending impacts. Explain how you would determine sample size and duration, and finally describe the analysis plan including segmentation and long-term value considerations.
Pro tip: Emphasize the importance of considering the long-term value of cardholders, not just first-year metrics, and discuss how to account for potential cannibalization or selection bias. Also, mention the need to monitor for novelty effects and ensure the experiment runs long enough to capture seasonal variations.
Clearly state the goal: measure the impact of waiving the first-year annual fee on card acquisitions and spending. Formulate a hypothesis, e.g., waiving the fee will increase new cardholders and their spending.
Choose primary metrics such as number of new cardholders (acquisition) and total spend per cardholder in the first year. Guardrail metrics include profitability, default rates, and customer satisfaction to ensure no negative side effects.
Randomly assign eligible customers to control (no fee waiver) and treatment (fee waiver) groups. Calculate required sample size using power analysis, considering baseline conversion rates, expected lift, and desired power (e.g., 80%) and significance level (e.g., 5%).
Launch the experiment, ensuring proper randomization and data collection. Monitor for data quality issues and early signs of guardrail violations, but avoid peeking at primary metrics to prevent bias.
After the experiment, compare primary metrics between groups using statistical tests. Conduct segmentation analysis (e.g., by customer tenure, credit score) and assess long-term value. Evaluate guardrail metrics to ensure no harm.
AI-generated suggestions, not part of the candidate's original notes. May be inaccurate — verify before relying on them.