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This one is basically a full case study compressed into a single prompt.
Start by clarifying the metric definition and analysis grain, then outline a step-by-step validation plan that includes sanity checks and outputs. Emphasize the need for additional data to rigorously confirm or refute the claim, and structure your answer to show analytical rigor within the 45-minute constraint.
Pro tip: Always validate the data quality and metric definition before diving into analysis; a quick sanity check can save you from presenting misleading insights.
Define what 'sales' means (e.g., revenue, units, transactions) and determine the appropriate analysis grain (e.g., daily, weekly, per store, per product).
Check for missing values, duplicates, outliers, and time zone issues. Ensure the transactions table is complete and accurate for Q2 and comparison periods.
Compare Q2 sales to previous quarters and same quarter last year. Break down by key dimensions (e.g., product, region, channel) to identify where declines occur.
Verify that any drop is not due to seasonality, data artifacts, or random variation. Use confidence intervals or hypothesis testing if possible.
Present clear outputs (e.g., charts, summary tables) and list additional data needed (e.g., marketing spend, competitor activity, economic indicators) to confirm root cause.
AI-generated suggestions, not part of the candidate's original notes. May be inaccurate — verify before relying on them.