I jumped straight to external factors (competitor promo, seasonality) and the interviewer just kind of waited.
Start by clarifying the metric definition and context, then systematically break down the 25% drop by segmenting data across dimensions like time, geography, product category, and customer cohorts. Prioritize hypotheses based on impact and likelihood, validate with data, and propose actionable next steps while considering both short-term fixes and long-term learnings.
Pro tip: Demonstrate Amazon's leadership principles by showing bias for action and customer obsession—acknowledge the need to dive deep but also act quickly to mitigate customer impact. Avoid jumping to solutions before understanding the root cause, but be prepared to discuss immediate containment steps.
Ask clarifying questions to ensure you understand the metric: Is it orders or revenue? Week-over-week compared to which weeks? Is it global or specific to a region? What is the baseline seasonality? Confirm the data source and reliability.
Break down the drop by dimensions such as time (daily trend), geography, product category, customer type (new vs. returning), device, and traffic source. Identify which segments are driving the decline and whether it's broad or concentrated.
Brainstorm potential root causes: internal (site issues, pricing changes, inventory stockouts, marketing campaign pause) and external (competitor promotion, seasonality, economic factors, weather). Prioritize based on data signals and business context.
Use data to test hypotheses: check site analytics, A/B tests, customer feedback, and external benchmarks. Determine the most likely cause(s) and quantify impact. Consider correlation vs. causation.
Propose immediate mitigation (e.g., fix bug, launch promotion) and long-term preventive measures. Outline how you would communicate findings to stakeholders and monitor recovery. Emphasize learning and iteration.
AI-generated suggestions, not part of the candidate's original notes. May be inaccurate — verify before relying on them.