This one took me a second to frame properly.
Start by framing the problem as a causal inference question: does exposure to negative reviews causally reduce repeat purchase of the same coupon? Propose a mix of observational methods (e.g., propensity score matching, fixed effects) and experimental designs (e.g., A/B test with review sentiment manipulation) to isolate the effect, while controlling for confounders like user history, coupon quality, and selection bias.
Pro tip: Emphasize that correlation isn't causation: users who leave negative reviews may differ systematically from those who don't, so you need to account for selection bias. Also, consider that the effect may be heterogeneous—negative reviews might matter more for new users than loyal ones.
Clarify the treatment (exposure to negative reviews) and outcome (repeat purchase of the same coupon). Define negative reviews operationally (e.g., rating ≤ 2 stars) and specify the time window for repeat purchase.
List potential confounders: user demographics, past purchase behavior, coupon characteristics, review volume, and time trends. Determine what data is available (e.g., user logs, review text, transaction records).
If randomization is possible, design an A/B test where users are randomly exposed to negative reviews (e.g., by manipulating review display). If not, use quasi-experimental methods like propensity score matching, difference-in-differences, or instrumental variables.
Apply statistical models (e.g., logistic regression with fixed effects, causal forests) to estimate the treatment effect while adjusting for confounders. Check for heterogeneous treatment effects across user segments.
Conduct robustness checks (e.g., placebo tests, sensitivity analysis) and assess practical significance. Communicate findings with confidence intervals and discuss limitations.
AI-generated suggestions, not part of the candidate's original notes. May be inaccurate — verify before relying on them.