This was a lot to hold in your head at once.
Start by diagnosing underfitting vs overfitting using learning curves and validation metrics like PR-AUC, then propose three quick interventions that address data imbalance and model complexity. Next, design a threshold selection procedure that minimizes expected cost based on the given cost structure, and finally outline a minimal monitoring plan covering data drift, model performance, and business metrics.
Pro tip: Emphasize that with severe class imbalance, accuracy is misleading; focus on precision-recall trade-offs and cost-sensitive evaluation. Also, mention that threshold selection should be revisited periodically as costs and data distribution may change.
Plot learning curves (training vs validation performance) and compare PR-AUC, recall, and precision. If both training and validation are poor, it's underfitting; if training is much better, it's overfitting.
Suggest: 1) Resampling (e.g., SMOTE or random oversampling) or class weighting, 2) Hyperparameter tuning (e.g., tree depth, regularization), 3) Feature engineering or selection to improve signal.
Define cost matrix (false positive vs false negative costs), compute expected cost across thresholds on validation set, and select threshold minimizing expected cost. Use PR curve to visualize trade-offs.
Monitor: 1) Data drift (input feature distributions), 2) Model performance (PR-AUC, recall, precision at chosen threshold), 3) Business metrics (fraud loss, false positive rate), and 4) Prediction distribution.
AI-generated suggestions, not part of the candidate's original notes. May be inaccurate — verify before relying on them.