I went straight to segmentation which felt right in the moment: is it all senders or just some, all regions or one, desktop vs mobile, a specific time window.
Start by clarifying the metric definition and scope (e.g., which emails, segments, time period) to ensure you're solving the right problem. Then systematically break down the funnel—from send volume and deliverability to engagement—and segment by user, email type, and time to isolate the cause. Finally, prioritize hypotheses and propose quick validation steps.
Pro tip: Always check for data instrumentation or tracking changes first—a 35% drop often stems from a broken pixel or a shift in how opens are counted, not actual user behavior. Mentioning this early shows you think like a seasoned PM who knows that measurement issues can masquerade as product problems.
Confirm the exact definition of 'open rate' (e.g., unique vs. total opens, tracking pixel firing) and check if any recent changes in tracking, email client updates (like Apple's MPP), or data pipelines could explain the drop. Ensure the 35% decline is real and not an artifact.
Break down open rates by dimensions such as email type (marketing vs. transactional), user cohort (new vs. existing), sender domain, device, geography, and time. Look for patterns that isolate the drop to a specific segment.
Examine upstream metrics (send volume, bounce rate, spam complaints, deliverability) and downstream (click-through, unsubscribe). Also consider external factors like competitor actions, seasonal trends, or major email client changes.
Based on the segmentation, generate plausible hypotheses (e.g., subject line fatigue, deliverability issues, list quality degradation, product changes affecting email content). Prioritize by likelihood and impact.
Design quick experiments or queries to test top hypotheses (e.g., A/B test subject lines, check spam folder placement, review recent product releases). Propose immediate mitigations and longer-term monitoring.
AI-generated suggestions, not part of the candidate's original notes. May be inaccurate — verify before relying on them.