Optiver·Data Scientist·Technical Phone Screen
- Given a continuous probability distribution over an unknown quantity, how would you set up the optimization problem to choose interval endpoints that maximize expected score in the market-making interval game?
- Derive the first-order conditions for the optimal interval and explain how the optimal coverage probability differs between light-tailed and heavy-tailed belief distributions.
- How would you allocate risk across five rounds to hit a total score of at least 2.0? Walk through a dynamic programming or heuristic approach and explain how you'd adjust interval tightness based on your running score.
- Under a log-normal belief about the true answer, describe a quick mental method for picking near-optimal interval endpoints. How would you adapt this for heavy-tailed beliefs?
- How would you design a simulation to validate your five-round interval strategy and estimate the probability of hitting the 2.0 score target?
“This took me a minute to even parse.”